Tuesday, September 30, 2008

Models Doing Their Job - And Sooooooo Close!

HURRICANE AND WEATHER
Very close now...Centerpoint reporting 97% have power...66,000 still waiting. I remember when a big storm would blow through and we would be concerned if 10,000 people were waiting.

Looking back on all of this now and reading some of the personal accounts, I think wow! Too bad some of these folks who died in the storm surge (or almost died) hadn't read Through the Night of Terrors or some of the other books about what can happen. Now these survivors will write their own books.

Anyway, getting back to the weather of the day...Tropical Storm Laura (but it won't be tropical much longer as it is affected by the cool waters in its way) may bring 50 mph winds to the British Isles in about 6 days. Stay tuned!

Ah ha!!! Some models have been suggesting that something would develop in the Western Caribbean and sure enough, there is an area of disturbed weather. Will watch this for signs of development.

Next cold front arrives a week from today. You'll notice increased humidity and temperatures starting Saturday. There could be a shower or two with the most likely time being on Tuesday.

SPANISH WORD OF THE DAY

No doubt the 3% still without power are filled with anticipation or expectativa, pronounced aches-spak-tah-tee-vah. There were filled with expectativa thinking of all the normal things they couldn't wait to do again, once the power returned.

Research shows there is a correlation between being bilingual and having higher verbal and spatial ability.

The...study investigated the develpment of verbal and spatial abilities over time within a group of Spanish (L1)-English (L2) bilingual children currently attending Kindergarten and First-grade bilingual education programs...The results firmly supported the claim that bilingualism fosters the development of verbal and spatial abilities.

This is from Diaz, R.M. (1982). The Impact of Second-Language Learning on the Development of Verbal and Spatial Abilities. (PhD, Yale University).

Let's Learn Spanish with Frank & Paco, our award winning DVD is going on the road next week!!! Patti Lozano of Dolo Publications is taking it with her to a conference. Have a safe trip Patti. Dolo Publications is in the process of adding us to their web site and they will do so very soon. I'll give you the link, once they are ready!!!

And the timing could not be better...how easy is this? You have a bunch of little ones on your Christmas shopping list but you don't want to get them some plastic toy. Why not purchase a DVD which has been recognized by Dr. Toy as a Top 10 Educational Product of 2008? You'll help them and make them happy at the same time!!! Order through http://www.frankandpaco.com/, Ventura's Educational Supply, Dolo Publications, Carlex Inc., The Curious Mind Store, amazon.com, bestbuy.com, and barnesandnoble.com.

AND MORE
Have you heard of Longeberger products? I hadn't until my dear friend Kim Matthews started selling them. Well guess what? I am going to have a party at my home on Friday, November 14th. I will be happy to send you an invitation. Just send me an email to cecilia_sinclair@yahoo.com. I'll also give any party attendee a reduced price for our award winning DVD. This is so ideal as the timing before the holidays could not be better. So, mark your calendars!!!

I have to tell you that I am so grateful to the wonderful, dedicated people in the world of education. I met with Sarah's school occupational therapist for 45 minutes today. She wanted to give me suggestions on things to work on with Sarah. Keep in mind that she has 50 kids she keeps track of. Wow! And everyone I have worked with at Sarah's school has been equally dedicated. I appreciate this more than I can possibly say.

Be safe everyone!
Cecilia Sinclair
Wonder Weather Woman

Monday, September 29, 2008

Power Return After Ike --- Almost There--Almost!!!

HURRICANES AND WEATHER
Hurricane Kyle is history...after hitting Nova Scotia last night and moving northward and weakening. Early today, subtropical storm Laura formed in the north-central Atlantic and the 5 day forecast takes it toward the British Isles with 60 mph winds...interesting.

Our weather is just so pleasant and willl continue to be so...cool mornings and warm afternoons with low humidity...no big changes but the humidity will increase Saturday and Sunday and there could be a shower or two both days.

Centerpoint's 9 pm report this evening...95% have power and 5% do not (down to 114,000 without power). There are lot of people filled with joy this evening.


SPANISH WORD OF THE DAY

And so, joy is our Spanish word of the day...in Spanish it is alegría--pronounce ah-lay-gree-ah. We were filled with alegría when our power returned.

Speaking of joy, bring joy to the little ones you love by giving them a gift of education which is also entertaining. Our DVD called Let's Learn Spanish with Frank & Paco Volume 1 has been recognized as a Top 10 Educational Product for 2008 by Dr. Toy!!! You can order through http://www.frankandpaco.com/, Ventura's Educational Supply, Dolo Publications, Carlex Inc., The Curious Mind Store, amazon.com, bestbuy.com, and barnesandnoble.com.

AND MORE
Crews were picking up tree debris all over the place today, including our neighborhood. Walking along the Oyster Creek trail this morning, we noticed that the decaying trees were really starting to stink, especially around Oyster Creek. What a smelly job crews have ahead...and that is a really trouble spot because there are snakes and even alligators. But the trees will have to be moved because they are going to clog the creek with the next big rain. I'm sure other area creeks and bayous are in the same boat.

The Baines Middle School resource class is still ready, willing and able to do the laundry for anyone who needs it. Please contact Ms. Mitchell.

Thanks to all the folks working so hard!!!

Be safe!
Cecilia Sinclair
Wonder Weather Woman

Sunday, September 28, 2008

Hurricane Kyle Close to Landfall & Finding Heroes

HURRICANES AND WEATHER
Hurricane Kyle will make landfall this evening on the western end of Nova Scotia. It's movement now to the north-northeast...moving eastward enough that the Hurricane Watch was dropped for Maine.

Low pressure over Yucatan could become a rain maker for Florida by mid-week as it moves north-northeastward. Probably won't have time to become a tropical depression. We shall see.

Elsewhere, close to home...no tropical weather...just the influence of high pressure...pleasantly cool morning and warm, dry afternoons. No big changes for the week ahead. Lows will be in the 50s and 60s (depending on the day and location) and highs will be in the middle to upper 80s (a few 90s are possible). Enjoy!!!

SPANISH WORD FOR THE DAY
I am choosing hero or héroe, pronounced ay-row-ay. I will explain why I chose this word in my AND MORE section. Sometimes, you find an héroe in the most unlikely place.

Learning more than one language has been shown to improve memory. Here's one research study that proved it.
In this study, 60...bilingual and 60...monolingual children in three age groups...were compared on episodic memory and semantic memory tasks...and verbal tasks...Positive effects of bilingulism were found on both episodic memory and semantic memory at all age levels.

This came from: Kormi-Nouri, R., Moniri, S., & Nilsson, L. (2003). Episodic and semantic memory in bilingual and monolingual children. Scandinavian Journal of Psychology, 44(1), 47-54. from PsycINFO database.

And it doesn't have to be a chore to reap the rewards of language learning. In fact, it can be a gift in the form of a fun and entertaining DVD called Let's Learn Spanish with Frank & Paco Volume 1. This is the DVD I produced and created, and it has been recognized as a Top 10 Educational Product for 2008 by Dr. Toy!!! You can order through http://www.frankandpaco.com/, Ventura's Educational Supply, Dolo Publications, Carlex Inc., The Curious Mind Store, amazon.com, bestbuy.com, and barnesandnoble.com.

AND MORE
Trucks were picking up branches on Austin Parkway near Highway 6 this morning. They were using a small crane looking contraption to grab bunches and put them in the back of the truck. So, hang in there everyone...the branches are slowly starting to disappear.

Latest Centerpoint numbers...89% have power (2.0 million). This means 11% still do not.

And sometimes, getting power back doesn't mean you will keep it. Last night, we had the honor of meeting one of these unfortunate individuals. Barbara and her husband were at Dairy Queen, having a quiet dinner and looking for a power outlet. Their power had just returned the day before, only to be lost again. I found out that Barbara was trying to get some work done, because she had already reported back to work as a school teacher. And she still had 10 family members from Galveston crammed into her 1700 square foot home (and don't forget, they brought their dog too). She said it has been so hard trying to get food cooked outside before it gets completely dark. She said it really messes with you psychologically, especially getting the power back and then losing it. When she told me about her job as a teacher, her eyes lit up and she said, I just love it. And I'm so glad to be back as of last Monday. The kids were ready too!!! Well, Barbara is my hero! She keeps on going even in the face of great personal adversity and sacrifice. She is taking care of a lot of people (family and students)!

Have a good week everyone!
Cecilia Sinclair
Wonder Weather Woman

Saturday, September 27, 2008

Hurricane Kyle and Happy Birthday in Spanish

HURRICANES AND WEATHER
Ooohh aahhh....so nice outside. And, there will be no big changes through the end of the coming week...lows will be in the 50s and 60s. Highs will be in the middle to upper 80s.

Kyle is now a hurricane...it will make landfall late Sunday near extreme eastern Maine. Not much more strengthening is likely as it raises northward.

Disturbed area that was in the southern Gulf Friday is now over the Yucatan. There are also 2 disturbed areas in the Atlantic...which are of no immediate consequence to any land area.

SPANISH WORD OF THE DAY
Since today is Sarah's 7th birthday, I thought it would be nice to learn how to say Happy Birthday in Spanish -- Feliz Cumpleaños - pronounced fay-leez coom-plee-ah-nyos. Feliz Cumpleaños to our dear Sarah. And thanks to big sister Megan for helping to her birthday so nice! You are the best Megan!!!

Another advantage of learning more than one language is improved grammar. Check out this research:

This study aimed to validate the effects of second language learning on children's linguistic awareness...The results showed an advantage for the children who attended bilingual classes since kindergarten: they were better at grammatical judgment and correction tasks and word recognition.

This came from Demont, E. (2001) Contribution of early 2nd-language learning to the development of linguistic awareness and learning to read...International Journal of Psychology, 36(4), 274-285. from PsycINFO datebase.

Heres's a way to expose children to more than one language. Purchase our award winning children's DVD, Let's Learn Spanish with Frank & Paco Volume 1. It has been recognized as a Top 10 Educational Product for 2008 by Dr. Toy!!! You can order through http://www.frankandpaco.com/, Ventura's Educational Supply, Dolo Publications, Carlex Inc., The Curious Mind Store, amazon.com, bestbuy.com, and barnesandnoble.com. THANKS FOR THE SUPPORT EVERYONE!

AND MORE
We are now beginning the 3rd week with no power. Centerpoint reports that 85% of power has been restored (to 1.91 million)...leaving 15% still without power...no refrigerated/frozen groceries, no in-house laundry service, no lights, no a/c and possibly no fans, possibly no phone service, no ability to easily charge cell phones, no ability to easily access the internet, no ability to use any appliance that accesses electricity, sometimes no school to attend, sometimes no work place to go to. Imagine that for more than 2 weeks...no fun at all. We haven't forgotten those of you who are doing without so much.

Coming soon...our own Disney store...it's official. Sarah has more Hannah Montana stuff than any girl in the world. Just ask her Dad.

Have a great weekend everyone!

Cecilia Sinclair
Wonder Weather Woman

Friday, September 26, 2008

New Tropical Storm Kyle - Weekend Looks Great!

HURRICANES AND MORE
Well, there are 3 areas of interest in the tropics today. The good news is none of them will be a direct player in our weather.

Tropical Storm Kyle formed on Thursday and is moving northward in the western Atlantic. Model forecasts are tightly clustered sending it toward Maine/Canada. It will probably be a rain maker for Nova Scotia and New Brunswick. It looks like it will miss Bermuda. The winds are up to 60 mph. So, it might just become a hurricane...but there has been enough wind shear to make its intensification a struggle.

In the southern Gulf of Mexico, there is an area of disturbed weather. This should move over the Yucatan peninsula over the weekend.

There is another area of disturbed weather in the eastern Atlantic...this may not hold together.

Our weather will be very pleasant this weekend...sunshine with lows in the 50s and 60s and highs in the 80s...humidity will be very comfortable. A few rain showers are possible late in the coming week as the winds switch back around to come from the south.

It has been such a break that Mother Nature has not brought us any big downpours since the Sunday after Ike. No doubt this is helping with recovery efforts. Centerpoint reports 81% (1.83 million with power as of 5 am today). For those 19% still waiting, it is very frustrating. Hang in there everyone!!! I am hoping the Pareto principle does not apply here...my feared application being that I fear it will take 80% of total time to finish returning power to the last 20%.

SPANISH WORD OF THE DAY
Let us not forget those who are struggling to recover and those waiting for power to return. There remains much frustration due to the physical and financial hardship. So, frustration is the word for the day...not much different from the look of its Spanish counterpart, frustación--pronounced, froo-stah-see-own. Hopefully, the frustación will be relieved soon!

Knowing more than one language is well established in the research as an advantage in several major ways. Check out this research:

...use of 2 or more languages endows the language users with special awareness of objective properties of language and enables them to analyze linguistic input more effectively. A series of studies compared unilingual and balanced bilingual...children...These studies show that the bilinguals outperform the unilinguals on a number of cognitive, linguistic, and metalinguistic tasks, even when the differences in intelligence are controlled.

This comes from Mohanty, A.K. (1992). Bilingualism and cognitive development of Kond tribal children: Studies on metalinguistic hypothesis. Pharmacopsychoecologia. Special Issue: Environmental Toxicology an Social Ecology, 5(12), 57-66 from PsycINFO database.

We are continuing to move forward with our Frank & Paco series. Volume 2 to teach Spanish to English speakers is in editing. And, we have recently ordered our English teaching version of Volume 1 for Spanish speakers.

In the meantime, you, your friends and family can purchase our award winning children's DVD, Let's Learn Spanish with Frank & Paco Volume 1. It has been recognized as a Top 10 Educational Product for 2008 by Dr. Toy!!! You can order through http://www.frankandpaco.com/, Ventura's Educational Supply, Dolo Publications, Carlex Inc., The Curious Mind Store, amazon.com, bestbuy.com, and barnesandnoble.com. THANKS FOR THE SUPPORT EVERYONE!

AND MORE
A very special Happy Birthday to our daughter Sarah, who is turning 7 on Saturday!!! We love you Sarah.

School is out in Fort Bend ISD because of the Fort Bend County Fair. There are lots of special activities for the kids today.

Ms. Mitchell at Baines Middle School is turning lemons into lemonade. She has posted a flyer inviting those without power to bring their dirty laundry for special laundering by the special resources class as part of their life skill work. But before you bring in your weekend's dirty clothes, make sure you check with Ms. Mitchell first. Go to the Fort Bend ISD web site and look up the contact phone number for Baines Middle School. http://www.fortbend.k12.tx.us/

P.S. If you automatically received this post halfway done, it is because Sarah published it while I was answering the door to get an estimate from another fence contractor. Ooops!

Have a great weekend everyone! Be safe!
Cecilia Sinclair
Wonder Weather Woman

Thursday, September 25, 2008

3 Months Until Christmas and Post Ike Return To Normalcy

HURRICANES AND MORE
Well, first of all, there are still many without power--22% for Centerpoint Energy Customers. 78% do have power--1.76 million. For those who are continuing to wait...I am so sorry and if Gordy and I can help you, let us know. The weather is much more pleasant now--the dry air has arrived. Look for lows in the 60s and highs in the middle to upper 80s for the next several days. We did get a little shower early evening on Wednesday. That was the frontal boundary pushing through. I hope it didn't cause any problems for any one with a damaged roof.

My stepdaughter showed up with a bag of laundry last night. Her Mom's house in the Memorial area still has no power...but their tree branches have been picked up in the neighborhood. In our neighborhood, the branches are waiting and killing the grass. I know...not a big problem compared to others.

I am continuing to watch an area of disturbed weather over the Bahamas. It should move northward and it is looking more likely that it will miss the U.S. We'll see if it is a factor for Bermuda. Meanwhile, that other low off the eastern seaboard is not tropical yet, but regardless, it is going cause some rain squalls and heavy surf.

Today is 3 months until Christmas...the average high and low for that day is 59.9 and 39.4 (Fahrenheit) respectively. We're thinking cool thoughts. I am posted the 3 month outlook for October/November/December from the Climate Prediction Center. It shows likelihood of slightly above normal temperatures for that time period.


SPANISH WORD OF THE DAY
With some things getting better...like power returning and gas being available, you might just feel happy or feliz, pronounced fay-leez. Hopefully, everyone will be feliz again.

Research shows that early language learning is very beneficial to children. Check out these research results:
The study included 67 sixth-grade students who were divided into four groups that differed by lengths of time in the foreign language program. ...analysis showed that the groups who received foreign language instructions scored significantly higher in three areas...than the control group [no language instruction]. ...the students who had received foreign language instruction scored higher on tasks involving evaluation which is the highest cognitive skill...

This research come from: Foster, K.M., & Reeves, C.K. (1989). Foreign Language in the Elementary (FLES) improves cognitive skills. FLES News, 2(3), 4.

So, with it being only 3 months until Christmas, you'll want to get several copies of our children's DVD, Let's Learn Spanish with Frank & Paco Volume 1. It has been recognized as a Top 10 Educational Product for 2008 by Dr. Toy!!! You can order through http://www.frankandpaco.com, Ventura's Educational Supply, Dolo Publications, Carlex Inc., The Curious Mind Store, amazon.com, bestbuy.com, and barnesandnoble.com. THANKS FOR THE SUPPORT EVERYONE!

By the way, I just ordered our new English teaching version of Volume 1 for Spanish speakers: Aprendamos Inglés con Frank y Paco. We should have it in 2 to 3 weeks. Please spread the word...this is a very unique product and we are super excited about it.

AND MORE
Well, I had better get going--I am going to visit participants in the Air Conditioning Council of Houston (ACCA) golf tournament--Longwood Golf Course. My friend, Phil Free invited me. ACCA is a group of Contractors recognized for providing high quality service and A/C installations for residential and commercial customers. The Air Conditioning Council became Air Conditioning Contractors of Houston. "ACCA Greater Houston", a division of Air Contractors of America. They provide training classes, teaching members better business practices and service techniques. There are about one hundred forty members and forty five associate wholesale supply members. No doubt they could use this break. I'm sure they have been extra busy!!!

We have come so far in a week. Last week at this time, I was shopping at Target with my little one. I asked the clerk at the Starbuck's how things had been. He said they had been open the day before and he could only serve coffee as he didn't have any milk products. He said people got so mad. Yep...we're pretty spoiled.

Try to be grateful, be safe, and have a great day!
Cecilia Sinclair
Wonder Weather Woman

Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Hurricane Ike - Now you are really hurting me!!!

HURRICANES AND MORE
Getting very busy getting back to "normal". Removing the Centerpoint graphic but you can always check the graphics by going to: http://www.centerpointenergy.com/staticfiles/ike/ike.html

Power has been returned to 76% or 172 million. Keep up the good work crews. We know you are working very hard and we really appreciate it!!! Hang in there all of you who still don't have power.

In the tropics...some interesting developments...still have that disturbed area over the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico with no big changes to previous discussions. But now that area that was supposed to develop a non-tropical low off the eastern seaboard...something tropical is developing. Will the two merge...no...check out my discussion on the Fujiwhara Effect about 2 weeks ago.

Our weather looks better than ever. Some drier air is arriving over the next 2 days, and it is going to be more pleasant through the weekend with lows in the 50s and 60s and highs in the middle 80s. Enjoy!

SPANISH WORD FOR THE DAY
Now that we are in the Fall season and will soon be enjoying more fall like weather, I thought I would do autumn or otoño, pronounced oh-toe-nyo. I think this is my favorite time of the year. And celebrate my wedding anniversary during otoño. By the way, that little squiggly thing is called a tilde, but in other parts of the world, this can also be called an accent--not to be confused with what we consider the usual accent mark over a vowel. Also ñ is a distinct letter of the Spanish alphabet.

Now that the weather is turning more pleasant, you might be thinking about the holidays. What could be a better gift than something that improves cognitive development and brain development in children. You can do that by purchasing our children's DVD, Let's Learn Spanish with Frank & Paco Volume 1, which has been recognized as a Top 10 Educational Product for 2008 by Dr. Toy. Don't forget to tell your friends and family that they can buy it at: http://www.frankandpaco.com, Ventura's Educational Supply, Dolo Publications, Carlex Inc., The Curious Mind Store, amazon.com, bestbuy.com, and barnesandnoble.com. THANKS FOR THE SUPPORT EVERYONE!

AND MORE

Some new developments in Fort Bend ISD. Note: Christa McAuliffe has sustained serious damage which will require the students to attendc another campus for a while. Also, don't forget that everyone in FBISD is off Friday for the Fort Bend County fair.

Update about Hodges Bend Middle School, Sept. 24, 7:15 amStudents should report to class at Hodges Bend Middle School today, Wed., Sept. 24. Update about Ridgegate Elementary and Briargate Elementary Schools, Sept. 23, 2:00 pmBoth Ridgegate and Briargate Elementary Schools have power. Students should report to class tomorrow, Sept. 24, at the regular time.Update- Sept. 23, 2:00 pm Fort Bend ISD plans to submit a waiver request to the Texas Education Agency to excuse lost instructional days due to Hurricane IkeAt the September 22 business meeting of the Fort Bend ISD Board of Trustees, Dr. Timothy Jenney, superintendent, recommended, and the Board concurred, that the district not make up the six official days when the district was forced to be closed due to Hurricane Ike. The Texas Education Agency (TEA) is not requiring districts to make up those days, and is leaving the decision up to each individual school district as to how it will proceed. The recommendation will be formally acted upon at the October 13th Board Meeting. A formal waiver request will then be submitted to the TEA.

Update about Willowridge High School and Christa McAuliffe Middle SchoolWillowridge High School (WHS) has regained power and will reopen at its normal time for classes on Tues, Sept. 23. Due to extensive damage to the Christa McAuliffe Middle School (CMMS) campus, those students will now attend classes at WHS, and should report to that campus (WHS) in the morning, Sept. 23, at their regular time. Students who may arrive at CMMS in the morning will be transported by school bus to the WHS campus. The attached parent letter explains a new schedule of how CMMS students will report to WHS beginning Wednesday, Sept. 24. (Please scroll down below to read the parent letter.)

Well, we got our first fence repair estimate yesterday...and we know that our insurance will only pay 2% of home value for wind damage. Ouch! I know we are the lucky ones...but this really hurts the ole' pocketbook. How do you feel about the expenses incurred by Ike? Leave me a comment.

Be safe everyone!
Cecilia Sinclair
Wonder Weather Woman