Thursday, May 20, 2010

Summer Temperature and Precipitation Outlook/Weekend Forecast/La Nina and Hurricane Season

Troughiness over the western US will be fairly persistent for the next week or so. High pressure will hang over the southeast. Highs will be in the 80s and 90s from the southwest to the southeast. There will be 70s from the Midwest through New England and along the west coast. Highs will be in the 50s and 60s over the Rockies and northwest. There is a slight risk for severe storms from Texas into Wyoming.

Houston will be hot and humid through the weekend and the coming week...with highs in the upper 80s and low 90s. There is only a slight chance for showers and thunderstorms each day. As I write this post this evening, ther are some storms northwest of Houston.

Let's do summer or verano, pronounced vair-RAHN-oh. Invierno is just about here....find out what the Climate Prediction Center is projecting temperature and precipitation wise for the June through August time period in the AND MORE section.

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Okay...lots of new figures out today. Climate Prediction Center has posted the new 3 month precipitation and temperature outlooks. See figures at right. Above normal temperatures are expected west and southeast with below normal over the central US.
Rain chances are projected to be above normal from southeast Texas and through the southeast US and over the central US and below normal in the northwest.

The new drought figures are also out...most of the continental US has little to no drought except for UP Michigan and northern Wisconsin. The drought conditions in that area are expected to persist through August.

I also read up on the El Nino/La Nina forecast and it looks like we are in a neutral period with a "significant" percentage of models suggested that we will slip into a La Nina pattern by August. This is important because statistically during La Nina hurricane seasons, more storms tend to form in the Atlantic, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico (due to less wind shear caused by the La Nina Pattern). So, we shall see.

It's almost time for my big garage sale with neighbors. I can't believe how much junk I had accumulated. Can't wait to get all this stuff out of here and into homes where it will be appreciated.

Have a great weekend everyone!
Cecilia Sinclair
Wonder Weather Woman

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