Monday, September 8, 2008

Hurricane Ike 1 PM Update

Well the 1 pm model runs (2 pm eastern) are continuing the overall trend of moving the landfalls west with almost each run. If we keep this up, Ike will hit Mexico. Anyway, a lot could happen in 5 days (landfall is expected Saturday). Please do take this seriously and get your home and family ready...see previous posts for tips.

I looked at the statistics for the last 150 years of storms. My friend Lew Fincher of Hurricane Consulting brought this up in his email update. No storms originating in the same area as Ike have (in that period period of record) hit the Houston area. On the other hand, if you look at where they hit, many of the hits are isolated from the others...i.e. there is no significant clustering...i.e. there's always the first time and that's all it takes to make your life miserable.

Anyway, I post as frequently as appropriate. More to come!

Cecilia Sinclair
Wonder Weather Woman

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